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All our statistical post-game MLB analyses, generated the day after each resolved game.

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

ATH @ DET

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Detroit Tigers (DET) with a 57.4 % probability of victory over the Atlanta Braves (ATH), a figure that aligned with contextual and statistical factors including starting pitcher matchups, recent form, and home-field advantage. The

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

AZ @ SD

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (AZ) with a 47.4% projected probability of victory, while the San Diego Padres (SD) were assigned a 52.6% probability. The game’s outcome diverged from this expectation, as San Diego secured a decisive 10-4 vi

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

PHI @ CIN

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Cincinnati Reds (CIN) by a narrow margin, assigning them a 50.2% projected probability of victory compared to the Philadelphia Phillies’ (PHI) 49.8%. The model’s confidence level was classified as MEDIUM, and the projected out

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

SEA @ MIA

The Diamond Signal projection of a Miami victory (51.0% probability) aligned with the actual outcome, as the Marlins secured a 2-0 shutout over Seattle. The model’s favored team won by a margin consistent with the projected calibration, though the exact score divergence (0-2 vs.

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

HOU @ WSH

The Diamond Signal projection favored Washington by a narrow margin of 50.4 % to Houston’s 49.6 %, classifying the match as a "WATCH" signal with medium confidence. The projected outcome aligned with the final result, as Washington secured a decisive 8-2 victory. While the margin

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

LAA @ TEX

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Texas Rangers (TEX) with a 54.9% probability of victory, assigning a MEDIUM confidence rating to the matchup. The model’s favored team won in reality, though the final scoreline (13-1) significantly exceeded even the most optimist

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

NYY @ TB

The Diamond Signal projection favored Tampa Bay with a 50.7% projected probability of victory, aligning closely with the final outcome where TB secured a 3-0 shutout against the Yankees. While the model did not predict the exact score differential, it accurately identified TB as

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

TOR @ SF

The Diamond Signal model projected a tightly contested matchup between Toronto and San Francisco, favoring the visiting Blue Jays by a narrow margin (49.0% vs. 51.0%). The projection carried a medium confidence level, flagged as a "WATCH" scenario—indicating a plausible outcome e

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

KC @ NYM

The Diamond Signal model projected New York Mets (NYM) as the favored team with a 56.7% projected probability of victory over the Kansas City Royals (KC) in this road contest at Citi Field. The final outcome aligned with the model’s directional call, as NYM secured a 6-2 road win

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

CLE @ MIN

Diamond Signal’s projected probability of a MIN victory stood at 54.1%, with the model favoring the Twins by a narrow margin and assigning a *medium* confidence level. The final result—MIN 6, CLE 5—validated the projection’s directional call, though the one-run margin fell within

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⚾ MLB·Jul 9, 2026

CHC @ BAL

The Diamond Signal projection favored the Baltimore Orioles (BAL) with a 54.3% probability of victory, assigning a MEDIUM confidence rating to the outcome. The projected favored team was expected to secure a win based on a confluence of dynamic-rating factors, including home-fiel

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

COL @ LAD

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) by a projected probability of 58.5%, reflecting a medium-confidence dynamic-rating model that incorporated recent form, rest, travel, weather, park factors, bullpen data, and pitcher metrics. The empi

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

TOR @ SF

Diamond’s pre-match projection favored the San Francisco Giants (SF) with a 54.9% projected probability of victory, while the Toronto Blue Jays (TOR) held a 45.1% projection. The match outcome diverged significantly from this expectation, as Toronto secured a 6-run victory in a h

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

NYY @ TB

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Tampa Bay at 56.9% against New York Yankees, reflecting a moderate confidence level in the model’s dynamic-rating inputs. The actual outcome validated the directional call, with the Rays securing a 6–4 victory on July 7, 2026. Whi

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

SEA @ MIA

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Miami (55.4%) over Seattle (44.6%), aligning with the eventual outcome. The model’s favored team secured the victory, though the margin (a one-run differential) fell within the plausible range of baseball outcomes. The projected proba

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

HOU @ WSH

The Diamond Signal projected Washington to secure a victory with a 55.4% probability, favoring the home team based on a dynamic-rating model that incorporated recent form, rest, travel, weather, park factors, and bullpen metrics. The final outcome deviated from this projection, a

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

PHI @ CIN

The Diamond Signal’s projected probability of 46.9% for the Philadelphia Phillies to secure the victory was validated by the match’s outcome. The favored team, per our model, delivered against the market’s 39.2% valuation, resulting in a win that aligned with the dynamic rating’s

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

KC @ NYM

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the New York Mets by 53.9% against the Kansas City Royals, a projection that was ultimately invalidated by the outcome. While the favored team did not secure the victory, the significant swing in the final score—KC’s 16 runs to NY

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

CLE @ MIN

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection correctly identified Minnesota as the team most likely to secure a victory, assigning them a 50.7 % probability of success compared to Cleveland’s 49.3 %. The final score of CLE 1 — MIN 3 validated this directional call, with Minnesota’s thre

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⚾ MLB·Jul 8, 2026

LAA @ TEX

The pre-match projection favored Texas by a projected probability of 58.8%, with the model assigning a medium confidence rating and designating the matchup as a "WATCH" scenario. The final outcome—an 8-3 victory for Texas—validated the directional correctness of the projection, t

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