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NHL Debriefings

All our statistical post-game NHL analyses, generated the day after each resolved game.

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19 analyses published

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🏒 NHL·Jun 15, 2026

CAR @ VGK

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection assigned a 47.7% projected probability of victory to the Carolina Hurricanes (CAR) against the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK), with a low-confidence signal classified as a WATCH scenario. The final outcome saw CAR secure a definitive 3-0 shutout

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🏒 NHL·Jun 12, 2026

VGK @ CAR

The Diamond Signal projection accurately identified Carolina as the favored team, assigning a 58.3% probability of victory compared to Vegas’ 41.7%. The model’s confidence was classified as low, signaling a watch scenario where external factors could significantly influence the o

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🏒 NHL·Jun 10, 2026

CAR @ VGK

The Diamond Signal model projected a 53.0% probability of victory for the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) against the Carolina Hurricanes (CAR), favoring them as the home team in a low-confidence scenario classified as a WATCH signal. The actual outcome diverged from this projection,

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🏒 NHL·Jun 7, 2026

CAR @ VGK

The Diamond Signal projection favored the Carolina Hurricanes by a narrow margin, assigning a 47.4 % projected probability of victory against the Vegas Golden Knights’ 52.6 %, with our model expressing low confidence in this assessment. The actual result saw Vegas secure a narrow

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🏒 NHL·Jun 5, 2026

VGK @ CAR

The Diamond Signal projection favored Carolina Hurricanes by a 57.7% projected probability against Vegas Golden Knights’ 42.3%, reflecting a moderate calibration favoring the home team. The projection classified this as a "WATCH" signal with low confidence, indicating elevated va

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🏒 NHL·Jun 3, 2026

VGK @ CAR

The Diamond Signal projection favored the Carolina Hurricanes (CAR) by a projected probability of 58.3% over the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK), with a low-confidence watch signal indicating elevated variance in the outcome. The model’s favored team did not secure the match outcome,

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🏒 NHL·May 25, 2026

COL @ VGK

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) at a 53.2% projected probability, with a LOW confidence classification and a WATCH signal designation. The final outcome validated this directional call, as VGK secured a 5-3 victory over the Colorado Av

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🏒 NHL·May 24, 2026

MTL @ CAR

The Diamond Signal projection favored Carolina by a narrow margin of 59.2% to Montreal’s 40.8%, assigning a **LOW confidence** signal type classification of **WATCH**. The final outcome validated the statistical favoritism, as Carolina secured a 3–2 victory in regulation. While t

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🏒 NHL·May 23, 2026

VGK @ COL

The Diamond Signal model projected a projected probability of 57.4% favoring the Colorado Avalanche (COL) in their home matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK). The game outcome diverged from this expectation, with Vegas securing a 3-1 victory. While the projected probabil

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🏒 NHL·May 22, 2026

MTL @ CAR

The Diamond Signal model projected a 60.3% favored probability for the Carolina Hurricanes to defeat the Montreal Canadiens on May 21, 2026. The final outcome—Montreal’s 6-2 victory—invalidated this projection. The Canadiens outperformed expectations decisively, securing a road w

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🏒 NHL·May 21, 2026

VGK @ COL

The Diamond Signal model projected a Colorado Avalanche victory with a 59.3% projected probability, favoring the home team by a narrow margin. The actual outcome diverged materially from this expectation, as the Vegas Golden Knights secured a 4-2 road win in Denver. While the pro

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🏒 NHL·May 19, 2026

MTL @ BUF

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Montreal by 45.3% to Buffalo’s 54.7%, assigning a **LOW** confidence rating with a **WATCH** signal type. The actual outcome saw Montreal secure a 3-2 victory, thereby validating the projection’s directional call despite the favor

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🏒 NHL·May 17, 2026

BUF @ MTL

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Montreal Canadiens (MTL) with a 55.1% probability of victory over the Buffalo Sabres (BUF), based on a low-confidence SERIES_RULE signal. The match outcome—an 8-3 victory for BUF—represented a significant deviation from the pr

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🏒 NHL·May 15, 2026

VGK @ ANA

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection assigned Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) a 32.8 % projected probability of victory over the Anaheim Ducks (ANA), despite the public market favoring the Ducks at 49.0 %. The model’s low confidence classification stemmed from a Watch signal type, in

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🏒 NHL·May 15, 2026

MTL @ BUF

The Diamond Signal model projected a Montreal Canadiens victory with a 44.9% probability, assigning a LOW confidence rating and classifying the matchup as a WATCH scenario. The final outcome, a 6-3 victory for Montreal, deviated from the projected probability by approximately 15.

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🏒 NHL·May 14, 2026

MIN @ COL

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Colorado by 57.4% to Minnesota’s 42.6%, assigning a "LOW" confidence classification under the "SERIES_RULE" signal type. The model’s expected outcome was validated by the match outcome, as Colorado secured the 4-3 victory to claim the

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🏒 NHL·May 13, 2026

ANA @ VGK

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a 68.3% projected probability of victory for the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) ahead of their matchup against the Anaheim Ducks (ANA) on May 12, 2026. The model assigned a LOW confidence signal type of WATCH, indicating elevated uncerta

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🏒 NHL·May 13, 2026

BUF @ MTL

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a 58.0 % probability of victory for the Montreal Canadiens (MTL) against the Buffalo Sabres (BUF), assigning a **LOW confidence** signal with a **WATCH** designation. The projected favored team was MTL, supported by a +100.0 point ca

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🏒 NHL·May 12, 2026

COL @ MIN

```markdown Our projection for the 2026-05-11 NHL matchup between the Colorado Avalanche (COL) and Minnesota Wild (MIN) identified Colorado as the favored team with a projected probability of 39.4%, while the public prediction market assigned a 43.7% chance to Minnesota. The game

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