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MLB Debriefings

All our statistical post-game MLB analyses, generated the day after each resolved game.

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

MIA @ PIT

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Miami (MIA) by a narrow margin (48.8 % vs. Pittsburgh’s 51.2 %), assigning a MEDIUM confidence signal with a WATCH designation. The match outcome validated the analyst’s directional call, with MIA securing a 5-run victory despite

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

LAD @ CWS

The Diamond Signal model projected a competitive matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) and the Chicago White Sox (CWS), with LAD favored at 49.4% to CWS at 50.6%. The game outcome diverged from the projected probabilities, as the White Sox secured a decisive 8-2 victory.

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

AZ @ CIN

The Diamond Signal projection of 45.9 % for the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks was directionally correct, as the team secured a 5–2 victory over the Cincinnati Reds in a performance that aligned with the model's expectations despite the slight underestimation of the favored team's

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

HOU @ KC

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Kansas City by a narrow margin of 53.0% to 47.0%, assigning a medium-confidence rating and designating the contest as a watch scenario. The ultimate outcome—Houston’s 10-8 victory—invalidated the projection, marking a notable deviatio

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

ATL @ NYM

The Diamond Signal model projected a narrow advantage for the New York Mets (NYM) with a 50.2% projected probability, aligning with the prediction market consensus at 53.3%. The game outcome favored NYM, with a final score of 7-5, validating the model’s overall directional call.

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

COL @ ATH

The Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection correctly identified the ATH as the favored team, assigning a 60.8% projected probability of victory. The outcome validated this assessment, as the ATH secured a 6-4 win, delivering a positive result for the model’s favored side. The game

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

CHC @ SF

Diamond Signal’s projection favored the San Francisco Giants (51.2%) over the Chicago Cubs (48.8%) in a matchup that ultimately saw the visiting Cubs secure a 5-1 victory. The model’s median outcome aligned with a Giants win, though the realized result fell outside the projected

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

TEX @ BOS

The Diamond Signal model projected a Boston Red Sox victory with a 53.7% chance of success, while the public prediction market placed the favored team at 54.3%. The actual outcome validated the model’s directional call, as the Red Sox secured a decisive 10-1 victory over the Texa

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⚾ MLB·Jun 13, 2026

NYY @ TOR

The Diamond Signal model projected a slim favored probability for the Toronto Blue Jays at 50.9%, with the New York Yankees holding a 49.1% projected win probability. The match was classified under a WATCH signal with medium confidence, indicating marginal separation in the dynam

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

CHC @ COL

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Colorado Rockies (COL) with a 50.5% projected probability of victory, while the Chicago Cubs (CHC) were assigned a 49.5% share. The model’s MEDIUM-confidence *WATCH* signal suggested marginal uncertainty but leaned toward COL as t

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

STL @ NYM

The Diamond Signal projection for this contest converged on a 51.3 % favored probability for the New York Mets, a modestly positive divergence from the public market’s 47.6 % estimate. The game unfolded with the Mets escaping Flushing Field in a narrow 5–4 decision, validating th

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

TEX @ KC

The Diamond Signal model projected TEX to secure a 46.8% projected probability of victory against KC, favoring the Royals despite the model’s slight tilt toward the Rangers. The final outcome deviated from the public market consensus, which assigned a 51.5% probability to KC, but

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

LAD @ PIT

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection assigned the Los Angeles Dodgers a 44.9% probability of victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates, marking the favored team despite a slight underdog perception in public markets (39.0%). The baseball game’s final score validated the analyst’s v

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

MIN @ DET

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection (MIN 48.9% / DET 51.1%) accurately favored Detroit, though the magnitude of the outcome significantly exceeded expectations. Detroit’s 11-run margin of victory represents a +6.9-run differential from the projected 4.1-run margin (51.1% implie

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

SEA @ BAL

The Diamond Signal model projected a narrow preference for the Baltimore Orioles (51.0% projected win probability) over the Seattle Mariners, which materialized into a definitive victory in this MLB encounter. The Orioles’ resilience in high-leverage situations, particularly thei

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

AZ @ MIA

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 49.8% projected probability of victory over the Miami Marlins’ 50.2%, indicating a near-even matchup with marginal advantage to the road team. The model’s medium-confidence calibration reflected a sligh

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⚾ MLB·Jun 12, 2026

ATL @ CWS

Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Atlanta by a narrow margin (48.3% to 51.7%), assigning a medium-confidence "WATCH" signal. The favored team did not secure the win, as Chicago White Sox emerged victorious in an outcome that deviated from the statistical expectations.

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⚾ MLB·Jun 11, 2026

LAD @ PIT

The Diamond Signal model projected a narrow advantage for the Pittsburgh Pirates (50.4%) over the Los Angeles Dodgers (49.6%), favoring Pittsburgh with a medium-confidence calibration. The game outcome validated the model’s directional call: Pittsburgh secured the victory, though

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⚾ MLB·Jun 11, 2026

SEA @ BAL

The Diamond Signal projection of a Baltimore Orioles victory aligned with the actual outcome of the match, as the Orioles secured a 7-2 road win against the Seattle Mariners. The projected probability of a Baltimore triumph stood at 56.0%, which proved directionally accurate desp

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⚾ MLB·Jun 11, 2026

WSH @ SF

--- Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the San Francisco Giants (SF) with a 58.0% projected probability of victory, while the public prediction market assigned a 50.5% likelihood. The game outcome aligned with the Diamond Signal projection, as SF secured the 11–10 win

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