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Post-game Debriefings

All our statistical post-game analyses, generated every morning for each game resolved the day before. MLB and NHL today — more sports coming.

21 analyses published

All ⚾mlb· 18 🏒nhl· 3

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

SF @ LAD

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) victory with a 56.5 % probability, favoring the home team despite a "LOW" confidence signal and an "EDGE" type. However, the San Francisco Giants (SF) secured the win, contradicting the statistical outlook

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

NYY @ BAL

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a narrow advantage for the Baltimore Orioles (50.7%) over the New York Yankees (49.3%), assigning a "WATCH" signal with low confidence. The game outcome, as captured by the final standings, confirmed the New York Yankees as the winni

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

LAA @ CLE

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Cleveland with a 56.3% probability of victory, while public prediction markets aligned closely at 55.5%. The divergence of +0.8 points reflects a subtle but important calibration difference between statistical modeling and

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

COL @ PIT

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) with a 64.8% projected probability of victory, while the Colorado Rockies (COL) were assigned a 35.2% share. The model’s low confidence classification and "WATCH" signal indicated elevated unce

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

WSH @ CIN

```markdown --- Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Washington Nationals (WSH) with a 48.0 % projected probability of victory, despite the Cincinnati Reds (CIN) being the market-favored team at 56.7 %. The model assigned a **LOW** confidence signal, classifying this

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

DET @ NYM

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the New York Mets (NYM) by a narrow margin, assigning them a 50.6% projected probability of victory against the Detroit Tigers (DET). The favored team under our model did indeed secure the win, aligning with our analytical

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

AZ @ TEX

```markdown The Diamond Signal projection favored Arizona (48.7%) over Texas (51.3%) in a matchup where the public market assigned a 54.3% probability to the Rangers. The game concluded with Texas securing the victory, deflating the Diamond’s projected outcome. While the post-gam

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

TB @ TOR

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Toronto Blue Jays (52.6%) over the Tampa Bay Rays (47.4%) with a "WATCH" signal, indicating low confidence in the model’s edge. The actual match outcome contradicted the projection, as the Rays secured the win despite

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

STL @ ATH

```markdown The Diamond Signal projection favored Atlanta (ATH) by a projected probability of 52.0% against St. Louis (STL)’s 48.0%, assigning a LOW confidence rating and classifying the match as a WATCH scenario. The game outcome diverged from this projection, with St. Louis sec

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

MIA @ MIN

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match analysis projected a 49.0 % victory probability for MIA against MIN, with a low-confidence *WATCH* signal indicating elevated uncertainty. The model favored MIA by 2.0 percentage points despite MIN’s 51.0 % projected share, reflecting a cali

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

SEA @ HOU

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored Seattle by 43.6% to Houston’s 56.4%, with a low-confidence signal classified as a WATCH. The game concluded with Seattle emerging as the winner, validating the directional call despite the absence of granular scoring data.

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⚾ MLB·May 13, 2026

SD @ MIL

```markdown Our pre-match projection favored the Milwaukee Brewers (MIL) with a 54.8% projected probability of victory, reflecting a modest low-confidence advantage over the San Diego Padres (SD). The game concluded with Milwaukee securing the win, aligning with our analytical fr

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🏒 NHL·May 13, 2026

ANA @ VGK

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a 68.3% projected probability of victory for the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) ahead of their matchup against the Anaheim Ducks (ANA) on May 12, 2026. The model assigned a LOW confidence signal type of WATCH, indicating elevated uncerta

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🏒 NHL·May 13, 2026

BUF @ MTL

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a 58.0 % probability of victory for the Montreal Canadiens (MTL) against the Buffalo Sabres (BUF), assigning a **LOW confidence** signal with a **WATCH** designation. The projected favored team was MTL, supported by a +100.0 point ca

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

NYY @ BAL

```markdown The Diamond Signal model projected a narrowly favored New York Yankees (49.6%) over the Baltimore Orioles (50.4%) in a matchup categorized as a **WATCH** signal with **LOW** confidence. The final outcome—Baltimore’s victory—validated the directional alignment of the p

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

TB @ TOR

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Toronto Blue Jays (55.2 %) over the Tampa Bay Rays (44.8 %) with a signal strength classified as LOW and a SERIES_RULE designation. The directional call aligned with the eventual outcome—an away victory for the Rays—th

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

SEA @ HOU

```markdown Diamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Houston Astros by a narrow margin (51.1 % vs. Seattle Mariners’ 48.9 %), with the model assigning low confidence to the outcome. The game resulted in a Seattle victory, which represents a divergence from the projected

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

SF @ LAD

```markdown The Diamond Signal projection favored the Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) with a 55.1 % projected probability of victory, citing a 7.1-point divergence from public prediction markets (62.2 %). The San Francisco Giants (SF) defied this projection by securing the win, validat

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

AZ @ TEX

```markdown --- The Diamond Signal model projected the Texas Rangers (TEX) as the favored team with a 50.4% projected probability of victory, while the Arizona Diamondbacks (AZ) were assigned a 49.6% probability. The model’s confidence was classified as **LOW**, with a **WATCH**

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⚾ MLB·May 12, 2026

LAA @ CLE

```markdown Diamond Signal projected a 57.9% win probability for the Cleveland Guardians (CLE) against the Los Angeles Angels (LAA) on May 11, 2026, with a LOW confidence signal marked as WATCH. This projection favored CLE, reflecting the statistical advantages presented by the m

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