Home›Debriefings›MLB⚾ MLBMLB DebriefingsAll our statistical post-game MLB analyses, generated the day after each resolved game.← All debriefings483 analyses publishedAll⚾mlb· 483🏒nhl· 19All datesTodayThis weekThis monthSearch a team (e.g. BOS, NYY)Filter⚾ MLB·Jun 26, 2026KC @ TBDiamond Signal’s pre-match projection favored the Tampa Bay Rays by a projected probability of 51.1%, assigning a medium-confidence rating to the scenario. The Kansas City Royals were projected at 48.9%, reflecting a tightly contested matchup. The actual outcome diverged from theRead analysis→⚾ MLB·Jun 26, 2026ATH @ SFDiamond Signal’s projected probability of 49.8% for ATH to secure victory was validated by the team’s 9–6 win. The model’s favored status, despite the narrow margin, aligned with the outcome, though the margin of victory (3 runs) exceeded the typical expectation for a closely conRead analysis→